MAY 1, 2016
We have been carrying monsoon 2016 forecasts from American and Canadian sources. The American NMME Model and Canadian CANSIPS forecast model.
The CANSIPS latest data (May 1, 2016) or Indian monsoon this year has just been released.
It has very good news for western and parts of southern India. Very good rains are likely June through September.
But eastern and northeastern India is on for poor below average rains this monsoon.
If this Canadian forecast comes true, it has serious implications for India. Scanty rains in eastern and northeastern India in all the monsoon months is bad news. Moreover Uttar Pradesh may face a dry August-September.
The forecast has good news for Oman, UAE and Pakistan. All these countries will receive above average rains June-September. Bangladesh is in for a poor year rain-wise.
In the maps below green denotes above average rainfall. Orange means below average.
RELATED Monsoon 2016 Forecasts
Canadian CANSIPS (April) Monsoon 2016 Forecast
NOAA NMME Monsoon 2016 April Forecast
NMME Monsoon May 2016 Prediction
RELATED Monsoon 2016 Forecasts
Canadian CANSIPS (April) Monsoon 2016 Forecast
NOAA NMME Monsoon 2016 April Forecast
NMME Monsoon May 2016 Prediction
JUNE will bring good rains all over India except Odisha, West Bengal, Kerala and Tamil Nadu which will receive average precipitation. Bangladesh and Indian North Eastern are in for scanty rains.
JULY will deluge Gujarat, coastal Maharashtra including Mumbai. India's east and northeast are in for below average rainfall.
AUGUST brings another flooding rains to Gujarat, especially Saurashtra, Karnataka and parts of Andhra. The dry areas will spread to Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, and Uttar Pradesh.
SEPTEMBER will bring well above average rains in Gujarat, Sindh, northern Oman and parts of Rajasthan. Odisha faces a drought.
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